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Report: Syrian third mobile licence

Authors: Tom Harden and Daniel Jones
Price:
GBP 950



Pages: 30

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Summary

The Syrian government has indicated that it will shortly be licensing a third mobile network operator. Both current operators operate under BOT contracts, which state that a new entrant could not be licensed until 2009. The Syrian government is now looking to take advantage of this clause to licence a new MNO. The Syrian market currently has low penetration compared to the income levels seen in the country, making it an attractive market for a new entrant. However, the regulatory environment has strictly controlled the market up to the present day, leading to the current market underdevelopment.

This report considers the opportunity for a third entrant in the Syrian mobile market.  It describes the background to the current situation. This includes analysis of Syria's economy and demographics, the regulatory environment and the telecoms market, focussing on the mobile market. The report goes on to analyse the opportunity for the new entrant, with forecasts for the Syrian mobile market and the potential for the new entrant to gain a share of the growth to come up to 2015. The unusual regulatory arrangement in Syria is also highlighted, with the effects of this taken into account to construct a picture of the overall size of the opportunity for a new entrant.


Key questions answered

- What is the opportunity in the Syrian market?

- What is the current state of the Syrian mobile market at the moment?

- How is the market likely to develop over the coming years?

- What is the size of the opportunity for a new entrant?

- What should be the strategic priorities of a new entrant?

- What has been and will be the effect of the regulatory environment?


Key data

- Socio-economic indicators for Syria (population, age distribution, GDP growth)

- Historical mobile subscribers and penetration in Syria, 2006-2008

- Historical mobile ARPU in Syria, 2006-2008

- Historical total mobile revenues in Syria, 2006-2008

- Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration in Syria, 2009-2015

- Forecast mobile ARPU in Syria, 2009-2015

- Forecast total mobile revenue in Syria, 2009-2015

- Forecast third entrant subscribers, ARPU and revenue, 2009-2015

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